Special Reports
Our special reports provide detailed analysis of significant events, emerging threats, and political developments across our areas of focus. Drawing on primary sources and ground-level intelligence, these reports offer actionable insights for decision-makers.
Analysis of Mogadishu VBIED Attacks (Jan 2017 - Apr 2019)
Comprehensive analysis of Vehicle Borne IED incidents in Mogadishu examining al-Shabaab tactics, targeting patterns, and attack timing over a 27-month period.
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AMISOM Draw Down: Analysis and Implications
Assessment of AMISOM's phased troop reduction, transition challenges, and implications for Somalia's security sector reform.
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Al-Shabaab Statement on Jerusalem: Threat Assessment
Analysis of al-Shabaab's response to U.S. recognition of Jerusalem, including threat implications for Western interests in East Africa.
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Puntland Pro-ISIL Group Occupies Qandala Town
Detailed analysis of the ISIL-aligned group's occupation of Qandala, clan dynamics, and evolving threat landscape in Bari region.
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The Islamic State Threat to Somalia
Assessment of ISIL presence in Somalia, competition with al-Shabaab, and analysis of pro-ISIL factions.
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The Road to Villa Somalia - No. 9
Final report in the series tracking Somalia's 2016 election process, federal state dynamics, and political developments.
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Al-Shabaab vs. Islamic State: Battle for Foreign Fighters
Analysis of competition between al-Shabaab and Islamic State for foreign fighter recruitment and regional implications.
Read ReportThe Road to Villa Somalia - No. 6
Sixth report in the series tracking Somalia's 2016 election process, federal state dynamics, and political developments.
Read ReportThe Road to Villa Somalia - No. 5
Fifth report in the series tracking Somalia's 2016 election process, federal state dynamics, and political developments.
Read ReportThe Road to Villa Somalia - No. 4
Fourth report in the series tracking Somalia's 2016 election process, federal state dynamics, and political developments.
Read ReportThe Road to Villa Somalia - No. 3
Third report in the series tracking Somalia's 2016 election process, federal state dynamics, and political developments.
Read ReportThe Road to Villa Somalia - No. 2
Second report in the series tracking Somalia's 2016 election process, federal state dynamics, and political developments.
Read ReportThe Road to Villa Somalia - No. 1
First report in the series analysing Somalia's 2016 election process, federal state dynamics, and political developments.
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The Future of Somalia Oil & Gas Exploration
Analysis of oil and gas exploration prospects in Somalia, examining investment risks, political challenges, and the regulatory environment.
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Emir Abu Ubaidah and the Future Threat of Al-Shabaab
Analysis of al-Shabaab's new leadership following the death of Godane, examining the group's residual threat capacity and regional implications.
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Why the Fall of Barawe May Not Mean the End of Al-Shabaab
Analysis of the strategic implications of al-Shabaab's loss of Barawe, examining the group's command structure, revenue streams, and asymmetric warfare capabilities.
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