This special report examines the African Union Mission in Somalia (AMISOM) drawdown and its implications for Somalia's security landscape.
Key findings include:
- Analysis of AMISOM's phased troop reduction timeline and benchmarks
- Assessment of Somali National Army readiness to assume security responsibilities
- Evaluation of al-Shabaab's likely response to reduced AMISOM presence
- Implications for international partners and ongoing stabilisation efforts
- Recommendations for managing transition risks
The report provides critical analysis for stakeholders monitoring Somalia's security transition.