Special Reports
Our special reports provide detailed analysis of significant events, emerging threats, and political developments across our areas of focus. Drawing on our primary sources and ground-level networks, these reports offer a complimentary preview of our actionable insights for decision-makers.
PM Abiy Acknowledges Eritrean Forces in Tigray
Analysis of PM Abiy's admission of Eritrean military presence in Tigray and assessment of likely scenarios following announced withdrawal.
Read Report
Al-Shabaab Attack on Manda Bay, Camp Simba Base Camp, Kenya
Analysis of the January 2020 al-Shabaab attack on Manda Bay base that killed three Americans
Read Report
Analysis of Mogadishu VBIED Attacks (Jan 2017 - Apr 2019)
Comprehensive analysis of Vehicle Borne IED incidents in Mogadishu examining al-Shabaab tactics, techniques and procedures with attack timing over a 27-month period.
Read Report
AMISOM Draw Down: Analysis and Implications
Assessment of AMISOM's phased troop reduction, transition challenges, and implications for Somalia's security sector reform.
Read Report
Al-Shabaab Statement on Jerusalem: Threat Assessment
Analysis of al-Shabaab's response to U.S. recognition of Jerusalem, including threat implications for Western interests in East Africa.
Read Report
Puntland Pro-ISIL Group Occupies Qandala Town
Detailed analysis of the ISIL-aligned group's occupation of Qandala, clan dynamics, and evolving threat landscape in Bari region.
Read Report
The Road to Villa Somalia - No. 9
Final report in the series tracking Somalia's 2016 election process, federal state dynamics, and political developments.
Read Report
The Islamic State Threat to Somalia
Assessment of ISIL presence in Somalia, competition with al-Shabaab, and analysis of pro-ISIL factions.
Read Report
The Road to Villa Somalia - No. 6
Sixth report in the series tracking Somalia's 2016 election process, federal state dynamics, and political developments.
Read Report
The Road to Villa Somalia - No. 5
Fifth report in the series tracking Somalia's 2016 election process, federal state dynamics, and political developments.
Read Report
The Road to Villa Somalia - No. 4
Fourth report in the series tracking Somalia's 2016 election process, federal state dynamics, and political developments.
Read Report
The Road to Villa Somalia - No. 3
Third report in the series tracking Somalia's 2016 election process, federal state dynamics, and political developments.
Read Report
The Road to Villa Somalia - No. 2
Second report in the series tracking Somalia's 2016 election process, federal state dynamics, and political developments.
Read Report
The Road to Villa Somalia - No. 1
First report in the series analysing Somalia's 2016 election process, federal state dynamics, and political developments.
Read Report
Al-Shabaab vs. Islamic State: Battle for Foreign Fighters
Analysis of competition between al-Shabaab and Islamic State for foreign fighter recruitment and regional implications.
Read Report
The Future of Somalia Oil & Gas Exploration
Analysis of oil and gas exploration prospects in Somalia, examining investment risks, political challenges, and the regulatory environment.
Read Report
Emir Abu Ubaidah and the Future Threat of Al-Shabaab
Analysis of al-Shabaab's new leadership following the death of Emir Godane, examining the group's residual threat capacity and regional implications.
Read Report
Why the Fall of Barawe May Not Mean the End of Al-Shabaab
Analysis of the strategic implications of al-Shabaab's loss of Barawe, examining the group's command structure, revenue streams, and asymmetric warfare capabilities.
Read Report