January 2026

Al-Shabaab Attack on Manda Bay, Camp Simba Base Camp, Kenya

Analysis of the January 2020 al-Shabaab attack on Manda Bay base that killed three Americans

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January 2026

Why the Fall of Barawe May Not Mean the End of Al-Shabaab

Analysis of the strategic implications of al-Shabaab's loss of Barawe, examining the group's command structure, revenue streams, and asymmetric warfare capabilities.

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January 2026

Emir Abu Ubaidah and the Future Threat of Al-Shabaab

Analysis of al-Shabaab's new leadership following the death of Emir Godane, examining the group's residual threat capacity and regional implications.

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January 2026

The Future of Somalia Oil & Gas Exploration

Analysis of oil and gas exploration prospects in Somalia, examining investment risks, political challenges, and the regulatory environment.

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January 2026

The Road to Villa Somalia – No. 1

First report in the series analysing Somalia's 2016 election process, federal state dynamics, and political developments.

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January 2026

The Road to Villa Somalia – No. 2

Second report in the series tracking Somalia's 2016 election process, federal state dynamics, and political developments.

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January 2026

The Road to Villa Somalia – No. 3

Third report in the series tracking Somalia's 2016 election process, federal state dynamics, and political developments.

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January 2026

The Road to Villa Somalia – No. 4

Fourth report in the series tracking Somalia's 2016 election process, federal state dynamics, and political developments.

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January 2026

The Road to Villa Somalia – No. 5

Fifth report in the series tracking Somalia's 2016 election process, federal state dynamics, and political developments.

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January 2026

The Road to Villa Somalia – No. 6

Sixth report in the series tracking Somalia's 2016 election process, federal state dynamics, and political developments.

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